Once the Cabinet collapses, even if it's still the Whig Party in power, the new Prime Minister is bound to be a moderate Whig who opposes the "Ireland Taxation Bill."
For most people, this might be good news.
But for Arthur, this news couldn't be worse.
Because a moderate Whig implies that, when selecting Cabinet members and making personnel decisions, individuals like Lord Brougham and Earl of Durham, such radicals, would certainly not be considered.
Although Arthur doesn't like radicals either, from a political standpoint, he could even be regarded as a moderate Conservative.
However, his livelihood comes precisely from those radical members of the Whig Party.
If the Cabinet is reshuffled and a mess occurs in Russia, the failing Earl of Durham would inevitably be sidelined, and how would the new Foreign Secretary treat him, Arthur, who is favored by Lord Brougham and Earl of Durham?
