LightReader

Chapter 24 - Panic of 1901 (2)

The day the market crashed, May 17th, was a scene of utter pandemonium on Wall Street. The sharp drop in Northern Pacific shares acted as a trigger, unleashing a wave of panic selling that spread like wildfire through the exchange. Investors, large and small, who had been caught up in the speculative fervor, now desperately tried to unload their stocks, fearing further losses. The ticker tapes ran incessantly, struggling to keep pace with the sheer volume of transactions as prices plummeted across various sectors.

Beyond the railway companies directly involved in the cornering of Northern Pacific, other industries also felt the shockwaves. Stocks in steel, manufacturing, and even some emerging technology sectors experienced significant declines as investors grew risk-averse and liquidated their holdings across the board. The sense of euphoria that had permeated the market just days before was replaced by a palpable fear and uncertainty about the future.

Brokerage houses were overwhelmed, with frantic traders shouting orders and clerks scrambling to process the deluge of sell orders. Fortunes that had been amassed in the speculative boom were wiped out in a matter of hours, leaving many investors facing financial ruin.

While the immediate chaos of the Panic of 1901 unfolded on Wall Street, its impact rippled out to affect ordinary citizens in various ways. Thousands of smaller investors, who had been lured into the market by the promise of quick riches during the speculative boom in railroad stocks, faced devastating losses. Many had invested their life savings, hoping to secure a better future, only to see their investments vanish as stock prices plummeted. This financial ruin had profound consequences, impacting families' ability to afford homes, education, and basic necessities.

Beyond direct investors, the crash also created a climate of economic uncertainty. Businesses, fearing a broader downturn, became more cautious with their investments and hiring. This led to job losses and reduced wages for some segments of the working population.

The event also shook public confidence in the stock market and the financial system. The dramatic rise and fall of Northern Pacific shares, driven by the manipulative tactics of powerful financiers, highlighted the risks and lack of regulation in the market at the time. This erosion of trust made many ordinary people more wary of investing in the future, impacting economic growth. While the immediate and most severe consequences were felt by those directly involved in stock speculation, the Panic of 1901 served as a stark lesson about the interconnectedness of the financial world and its potential to impact the lives of everyday Americans.

While the Panic of 1901 brought financial ruin to numerous small investors, the Kingston family experienced a significant increase in their already considerable fortune. Displaying remarkable foresight and leveraging Michael's predictive abilities, the Kingstons had also strategically shorted a portfolio of other railway stocks that Michael had foreseen would decline in the wake of the Northern Pacific crisis. As the market crashed and these other railway stocks plummeted, their short positions yielded substantial profits, adding another 7 million dollars to their already impressive gains.

The staggering profits from their strategic moves during the Panic of 1901 propelled the Kingston family's personal fortune beyond the remarkable threshold of 60 million dollars. This immense wealth firmly established them among the wealthiest and most influential families in the United States.

Furthermore, the financial turmoil inadvertently brought advantages to some of the Kingstons' other business ventures.

The economic uncertainty created a greater demand for reliable financial news and analysis, and the Kingston-owned New York Inquirer was perfectly positioned to capitalize on this. The newspaper's financial section, which had cautiously echoed Michael's predictions leading up to the crash, gained immense prestige and credibility as events unfolded precisely as foreseen. Though initially met with skepticism by some, the Inquirer's accurate reporting and insightful articles leading up to and during the panic led to a surge in readership, with its circulation crossing an impressive 500,000 copies. 

Kingston General Stores, known for their policy of offering goods at affordable prices, saw a surge in business as people became more budget-conscious during the financial unease. This period of increased demand helped Kingston Stores' expansion efforts, and the number of their outlets across the country now exceeded 400. 

Beyond their business success, the Kingston family also recognized the suffering caused by the panic and actively engaged in significant relief efforts, making substantial donations to charities and organizations dedicated to helping those affected by the financial downturn. These philanthropic endeavors further enhanced the Kingston family's public image, earning them a reputation for compassion and social responsibility.

The sheer scale of their financial success left John, Mary, George, and Elizabeth in a somewhat bewildered state. Even after repaying the borrowed funds – which amounted to roughly 3.5 million dollars when accounting for interest – they still found themselves with over 20 million dollars in readily available cash. They had already been formulating ambitious expansion plans for their various businesses, envisioning new stores, upgraded manufacturing facilities, and further investment in their newspaper. However, even factoring in these grand schemes, it became clear that they would still be left with an unprecedented surplus of money.

While the Kingston family had amassed an estimated 40 million dollars prior to the 1901 market crash, the vast majority of this wealth was tied up in illiquid assets like their oil, mining and steel companies and the ever-expanding chain of Kingston Stores. Any profits generated by these ventures were consistently reinvested to fuel further growth. Therefore, the over 20 million dollars they now held in liquid form was an entirely new situation – the first time they possessed more than eight figures readily available for new ventures or opportunities. 

Their existing portfolio was already vast, encompassing Wall Street investments, oil and mining interests, steel manufacturing, construction, publishing with the The New York Inquirer, their security company, and the sprawling network of Kingston general stores.

They knew they couldn't simply let the money sit, but finding a new, lucrative endeavor that could absorb such a significant sum was proving difficult. John was about to propose some more conservative investments when Michael, who had been listening intently, suddenly announced, "We should start a telephone company and a commercial bank."

A stunned silence fell over the room. John and George exchanged a look of surprise.

"A telephone company and a commercial bank?" John asked, raising an eyebrow.

In 1901, the American financial and telecommunications landscape was dominated by powerful, consolidated interests. Banking was largely controlled by a handful of influential figures and their firms, with none more dominant than J.P. Morgan. Through his investment bank, J.P. Morgan & Co., he had spent decades reorganizing and consolidating major industries, especially the railroads, and held enormous influence over the nation's financial system. He was a central figure in what critics would later refer to as the "money trust," a small group of bankers who exerted significant control over American industry.

The telephone industry, meanwhile, was under the near-monopolistic control of the American Telephone and Telegraph Company (AT&T). As the holding company for the Bell System, AT&T had, since the expiration of Alexander Graham Bell's original patents, solidified its dominance by acquiring smaller competitors and building a vast long-distance network. The company had effectively created a single, vertically integrated entity that controlled everything from manufacturing equipment through its subsidiary, Western Electric, to providing service to a rapidly growing customer base.

Michael held his father's gaze, his voice calm and deliberate. "Father the way banks are supposed to work is by using their depositors' cash to lend out to people and businesses, making a steady profit from the net interest. But most banks today get greedy. They're using those deposits to chase after bigger, riskier profits on speculative investments. It's a gamble, and that gamble puts their customers' savings in jeopardy. To cover that risk, they have to charge high interest on their loans, which makes it harder for the common person to get ahead."

He leaned forward, a quiet passion in his eyes. "But our bank would be different. With my predictions, we can use part of those deposits to make absolutely certain, profitable investments. There would be no risk of failure. And since we would be making steady, guaranteed profits from our investments, we could afford to lend money with much lower interest rates than any of our competitors. It wouldn't be a bank for Wall Street speculators. It would be a bank for the common people, offering them security for their savings and affordable loans to build their futures."

A thoughtful silence fell over the room as the family considered Michael's words. 

"A bank built on that model..." Mary began, a look of deep consideration on her face. "With Michael's help, we could have a sufficient foothold in the market. "

John, George, and Elizabeth all nodded in agreement. The idea of a bank that served the common person, while simultaneously leveraging Michael's unique gift to ensure its own success, resonated with their core values.

Okay, let's continue the chapter:

A thoughtful silence fell over the room as the family considered Michael's words. His vision of a bank that prioritized stability and service over reckless speculation was both radical and compelling.

"A bank built on that model..." Mary began, a look of deep consideration on her face. "With Michael's help, we could have a sufficient foothold in the market. It's an honest and sound business plan."

John, George, and Elizabeth all nodded in agreement. The idea of a bank that served the common person, while simultaneously leveraging Michael's unique gift to ensure its own success, resonated with their core values.

"But what about the telephone company?" Elizabeth asked, turning her attention to the other part of Michael's proposal. "That's a different kind of monster entirely."

The telephone industry market was almost completely dominated by a single entity: the American Telephone and Telegraph Company, better known as AT&T. AT&T's dominance was not an accident; it was a result of a deliberate, long-term strategy centered on its control of long-distance communication.

AT&T's success lay in the fact that while many smaller companies could provide local telephone service within a town or a city, only AT&T had the infrastructure to connect these local systems over vast distances. This national network, known as the Bell System, created a "natural monopoly" where a single company could provide a more efficient and comprehensive service than a multitude of competing local providers. 

Long-distance calls in this era were a complex and expensive undertaking. A caller would first connect with a local operator, who would then connect them to a special long-distance operator. This long-distance operator would then manually connect the call, often through a series of other operators in different cities, until the call reached its final destination. This process required a vast network of physical lines and human labor. AT&T's network of these long-distance lines was the key that unlocked communication across the country. They used this control to their advantage, often refusing to interconnect with smaller, independent telephone companies unless they agreed to AT&T's terms, effectively forcing them to become part of the Bell System or be isolated from the profitable long-distance market. This strategy cemented AT&T's control over the entire industry, making it a formidable force that Michael and the Kingstons would have to contend with.

Michael looked at his family, his gaze sweeping over each of them. "It's a risky investment," he said, his voice dropping to a serious tone. "To truly compete with AT&T's long-distance network, we would have to pour money into building our own infrastructure for years. It's not a short-term gamble; it's a long-term commitment, and we may even lose money for some time. But," he added, a flicker of ambition in his eyes, "it would be an influential investment. Just think about the power of connecting people on our own terms."

The family was taken aback. "Risky" was not a word they were used to hearing from Michael's mouth; their ventures, guided by his predictions, had been a series of smooth sailings since his first success with horse racing. Yet, the idea was also undeniably interesting. For the first time, they were not simply capitalizing on a pre-determined event. They were attempting to enter a new industry with little more than an idea and the financial capital to back it. For the family, the mere challenge of building a company from the ground up in a new industry was a compelling enough reason on its own.

More Chapters